“Bolsonaro’s structural force” was “underestimated during two years of polling,” Andrei Roman of Atlas Intelligence told Bloomberg Línea after the vote. Lula’s party grew around 20 percent in both houses to become the second-largest in the lower house, the Chamber of Deputies, and fifth-largest in the Senate. Seven gubernatorial candidates who endorsed the president won their elections, compared to five who backed Lula Bolsonaro’s party, meanwhile, grew to become the largest in both houses of Brazil’s Congress.
What’s more, several politicians who aligned themselves with Bolsonaro won sweeping victories at the state and congressional levels. The day of the vote, an aggregator on the news site Jota estimated that Lula would lead his opponent by 10 percentage points-rather than 5 points. While Lula’s strong performance was expected, Bolsonaro outperformed polls.
Lula received the most votes of any candidate in a first-round presidential election since Brazil’s redemocratization in 1985, while Bolsonaro earned 1.8 million more votes than he did in the first-round contest four years ago. 30.īoth candidates broke electoral records.
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Since neither managed to crack 50 percent, they will face off again in a runoff on Oct. Brazil’s first-round presidential election last Sunday saw leftist former President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva earn 48.4 percent of the vote to far-right incumbent President Jair Bolsonaro’s 43.2 percent.
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